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Old 08-03-2009, 08:22 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Romney has a better chance than Jindal. The republican party sold their souls to the christian right and now they are paying for it. Without them they have a difficult time winning elections. People like Palin and Huckabee appeal the christian conservatives, but they are too far right to get enough independents to win in the more progressive states. If the economy is in the crapper in 4 years Romney can run on the business platform and he might be able to get enough independents to offset the loss of the right wingers who don't want a Mormon. Jindal on the other hand has a lot to overcome. Maybe the far right would like him because of his abortion stance and that he is born again, but to get them it might be hard to go back to the middle enough to get the independents. Obama was able to cash in on the minority vote, I think he will still carry them again which mean Jindal has to convince conservative white people to vote for him and I don't think he can. Like Palin he comes off as a fake when he speaks, it is like he is doing a bad characterization of what he thinks a "folksy" person should be.

The next election is in Obama's hands If the economy is doing well and he hasn't bankrupted us with a crazy health care bill he will win re-election and it won't matter who runs against him. If the economy is doing worse and we get a health care bill that sucks he could be vulnerable, but I'm not sure the republican party will have picked up the pieced enough to make a serious run.
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