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The real question is, how much is america prepared to spend, as a country, to stop iran from getting a nuke.
We can launch penetrator attacks on their facilities - that would cost us, say, a few billion. Might work, might not - lets say it does work.
Does iran then start a campaign of blocking hormuz shipping? Probably. Do we then start a general campaign to try to stop this - and how much does all that cost? and how long is the price of oil kept at significantly higher levels? A year? Two? Four?
Do all the shia then go crazy? Maybe they will, but, except for iraq, the shia dont control that much oil - so, if we are willing to pay higher prices for oil, do we really care of the shia are killing every american they can get their hands on? I dont care, personally - you have to be an idiot to be an american in shia territory.
Are we prepared to invade and occupy iran to keep them docile?
Personally I think you war guys should attack. I figure it will cost the US another 4-5 trillion - which just brings the collapse of the empire that much closer.
So go for it.
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