Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill8
Thats what I expected you thought - obstruction is cost effective, military action may not be cost effective for the nation; but it would make some people - those who benefit from a sharply increased price of oil - pretty happy.
Another military adventure could easily happen - but - it will cost us, and my estimate of another 4-5 trillion could be way too low.
What happens if the israelis act on their own - well - that's much more difficult to model out, and it depends on wether (and how much) we get drawn into defending israel.
Military action would make for some great television.
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Large scale military action would have to be a last resort. We are so broke we can't afford the war we are still fighting.
I think we are going to put time, some money, CIA assets and things like that into the country and see if we can help push change from the inside out.
However, if Iran suddenly gets a nuke and threatens to use it I think Israel will act and that could stir up a can of worms that won't be easy to close.