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Old 02-21-2014, 02:49 PM  
deltav
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Yeah, the Polish quote wasn't a rumor - he was just saying what everyone expected.

It was a given the government needed to bring in the army, Berkut & co wasn't up to the task. Really in my mind the main options were either the Ukrainian troops swoop down and end things - they aren't some podunk half-assed force like we see in some 3rd world places, it's a real army - with a big loss of civilian life. Or.... some sympathetic elements of the army refuse and we get a very dangerous situation where civil war becomes a possibility. And then maybe Russia thinks about getting involved. I'm not really sure how cohesive Ukraine's army is far as regional loyalties go, so didn't know if the second was really likely, who knows. Either way a lot more people die.

So I was amazed to see they reached a settlement today. It's not often you see both sides stand down, they both realized they had everything to lose going forward but that doesn't always stop people when events get momentum. In a way I compare it to last year when it seemed certain the USA was going to attack Syria (man that would have been stupid), yet at the last minute Obama has a moment of sanity and backs off.
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