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Old 04-26-2016, 07:47 PM  
Rochard
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kane View Post
Tonight Trump will all but finish off wining the republican nomination. He will likely sweep the five states voting today and four of the five are winner take all. By the time the night ends Trump will have around 1,000 delegates. It will officially mathematically eliminate Cruz. I read a story yesterday that said if the remaining primaries play out the way the polls currently show them Trump will come up about 50 delegates shy of winning the nomination.

The republicans are in a can't win situation here. If Trump gets the nomination either by winning enough delegates or at the open convention a good portion of the party hates him and may not support him. If he doesn't get the nomination his supporters (even if he doesn't run as an independent) will be pissed off and will likely not support Cruz. If they pick someone other than Cruz or Trump they face the possibility have having most of the party revolt.

It's likely going to be a shit show no matter what happens.
I agree. And Trump did win big tonight.

No matter how this plays out the Republican party will loose. If Trump wins the nomination, they loose. If by chance Cruz wins the nomination, they loose. The only chance of the Republican party winning would be if there is a contested convention, and anyone other than Cruz ends up being their nomination.

The Republican party ignored the basics again. They needed to in the Hispanic vote, and the female vote, and once again, they not only ignored these to demographics AND pissed them off in the process.

The demographics of the country has changed, with a larger percentage of Americans being Hispanic. California, one of the most important states for politics, is now Hispanic. There is just no way around this.
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