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Did I notice that my earnings go up and down - yes
Does earnings always go hand in hand with increased efforts from me - no
Would I consider this a normal behavior and as natural fluctuations - yes
Also, anyone who does any type of ?serious? volume/amounts would be extremely hard pressed to increase their earnings by 300% in a single month - that would require some serious effort. So most likely, you are doing a small amount and thereby have a very small data sample, from a very small time period, making it statistically irrelevant. There are simply too many, small and natural variations that can and will happen in a small data sample, which will give this effect in a completely natural and highly expected way.
Take the extreme case of one signup.
For Tier 1, you get $1
Tier 2, you get $0.10
Tier 3, you get $0.01
Now, imagine, the extreme case of doing one signup in one month.
Month 1 it is a Tier 3 user, you earn $0.01
Month 2, the user you signup is a Tier 2 user, you earn $0.10 - an amazing increase by 1000% !!!
Month 3, the user is Tier 1, you earn $1 and have yet again increased your earnings by a whopping 1000% !!!
With this extreme example, you see that if you have a minimal data sample, small and natural variations will create gigantic percentages which thereby becomes rather irrelevant for comparison reasons.
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