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Old 02-07-2019, 02:23 AM  
cordoba
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Join Date: Feb 2010
Posts: 1,276
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul Markham View Post
Back to the subject.

The next big thing has to be something no one can copy, give away, pirate, etc. This is the problem with a bar for entry so low that practically anyone can jump in and take part.

There may be new big things for the online industry, the reality is there will be very few big things the individual or small company can cash in on. The reasons are simple. Roughly speaking, offline businesses need to pay $5 - $50 a square foot for space, servers cost cents on the dollar. Added to that are all the people offering services online. From CMS to white label sites, all to add to the growing number of suppliers to a limited number of consumers.

What was the last big thing in porn that made everyone a lot of money? Or even just a lot of people a lot of money.
I made quite a bit of money from 3d porn, but it obviously didn't last very long, and it was largely because I didn't have much competition. Then I made a bit of money from VR at the beginning (a lot of it still not paid by Naughty Revenue), but that seems to be going the same way as 3D only with hundreds of affiliates still jumping on it daily as the 'next big thing'.

Some here have made a few really good comments about AI and 'deep fake' style tech being the next big thing. The problem with that is that to me it promises to be the next big torrent/free tube style thing that will be the final nail in the coffin for the industry. Once this tech gets perfected and the software easy to download and use, why would the average punter choose to pay to watch a pornstar be animated into various sex scenes and fantasies when it will be easy just to take a Facebook photo of his crush or his best friend's wife and animate her? Obviously 'deepfake porn' is already being subjected to restrictions (banned on Reddit) and legislation is being talked about in the UK, but still, it's going to be hard to stop really.

The only thing that will certainly continue to be profitable is webcams, but the problem here is that the new tech which might make it even more profitable - remote 'haptic' sex etc, will probably drive forward calls to classify cam work as prostitution, which is getting more and more regulated or banned pretty much everywhere.

As far as the 3d modelling and animation is concerned there is a really interesting software platform called 'virt-a-mate' which seems to be improving very rapidly - https://twitter.com/VirtAMate/status...14468976910336
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