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I think, listening to epidemiologists and infectious disease experts non-aligned with governments, that this is going to get worse before it gets better. A possible, if not probable, second wave in fall overlapping with influenza will complicate matters. And, maybe more waves next year beginning in spring. Further, it is questionable whether a vaccine will be developed. Although coronoviruses are less subject to mutations (good), they are highly resistant to vaccines (e.g., SARS, MERS, and several that cause the common cold). The FDA has never approved a vaccine for humans that is effective against any member of the coronavirus family. Best case scenario is one could be developed, but it could take years. This could be the new normal until late 2021 or even into 2022. Some renowned epidemiologists are saying that this will not end until the virus has run its course, and infected between 60 to 80% of the population. And, if no vaccine, COVID-19 will likely become a seasonal pandemic like influenza. We can play the blame game (including playing race cards), but this will get us nowhere fast. Right now, we need to work together to get through this. Best bet may to improve testing, and then make it more available, and develop more effective treatments to minimize hospitalizations - especially ICU admissions: at least reduce need for intubulation / ventilation.
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