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Originally Posted by mainstreammix
An anecdote is not a "case in point" or I could post an anecdote of someone being replaced (I put several here) and say AI will take all the jobs.
Stats are a little more important.
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I said:
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Case in point. And before you get started, go look at any of the freelance sites
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Is the sky falling and all is lost on all the freelance sites? The case in point was merely an example reference.
Buddy, seriously, stop wasting my time. Yes, we can agree that more automated tasks (mainly done by entry level) will most likely be replaced by AI at some point. Just because you and a handful of people you know are using AI, doesn't mean that regular folk, those that don't want to learn how to use AI, regardless of how simple it may be, will jump on the band wagon. Right now, it's too early to tell, and the "stats" you are providing, are not accurate for this argument. Because ...
The article you referenced differentiates the following:
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From the washingtonpost....
"More important, when we looked at who worked in that industry, we noticed that programmers were in the minority. They’re dwarfed by, among other occupations, the software developers. The two terms are sometimes used interchangeably, but the jobs follow very different trajectories.
Nationwide, software developers haven’t struggled nearly as much as their programming brethren —"
"In the real world, “developer” and “programmer” can seem almost interchangeable. But in the world of government statistics, where we have legal permanent residency, there’s a clear distinction."
"In the government’s schema, programmers do the grunt work while the much more numerous — and much faster-growing — software developers enjoy a broader remit. They figure out what clients need, design solutions and work with folks such as programmers and hardware engineers to implement them."
"It’s not the first time programmers have borne the brunt of automation. For as long as the BLS has differentiated the two professions, programmers have been the black sheep, always struggling while developer jobs multiplied and multiplied again. With every innovation that made coding easier or less necessary — services to handle common tasks, offshoring, free open-source tools, servers and computing on the cloud — developers took on more of the work once left to pure programmers."
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If you delve deeper into this, I'm sure other factors could be at play. Obviously, entry level jobs what I believe the article is calling "programmers" are more at risk, but there are always other factors, such as:
Economic Uncertainty: The recent tech job market crash, driven by factors like rising inflation, interest rates, and global economic uncertainty, has led companies to prioritize profitability over growth, resulting in more conservative hiring practices and a focus on cost-cutting measures.
Geographic and Demographic Disparities: The impact of automation and AI on employment is not uniform across all demographics and regions, with younger workers and those in less-skilled occupations facing higher risks of displacement.
Industry Maturation: Certain tech sectors, including social media and e-commerce, are maturing, leading to slower growth and hiring compared to their earlier periods of rapid expansion
And I'm sure there is more. Go look it up on AI, it will give you more info I'm sure.