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and yes, including all of the shit you mention, how does china maintain such a robust economy while subjugating the majority of its people AND completely manipulating not only its own economy but every other economy on the planet. |
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On top of that, not a single DECENT economist would defend an absolute free trade market. And besides reality, there's a technical explanation: absolute free trade is only possible when the products are scarce and mensurable (like you said). However, when you add the variable of services, there's a loss of balance since... how do you value work time in terms of cheese, beer and wine? There's a solution to this, though: as long as the services demand doesn't surpass what the whole market produces and the market stays on a limited size, the system will be stable. In general, that should work, specially when you have adjust mechanisms based on sustainability and future production. But... then we get the intangibles. Let's say that in your system there were 5 producers of each product, so each producer decides to "add value" with a nice packaging, branding, advertising, etc. The product is EXACTLY the same, only that now it costs 3 or 4 times more. So... where is that 75% of "ghost" value? Let me explain it with another easy to understand example: The value of the Internet business amounts to trillions of dollars. Now, let's say someone pulls the plug of the Internet tomorrow and Internet is shut down. There would be entire countries collapsing and the biggest crisis ever seen in history, right? The funny thing is that, in reality, if you look around, you didn't lose anything. The cows are there, the grapes are there, teh barley is there. In real value terms, you are not richer or poorer. Yet you're facing a crisis that may end your society, the world as you knew it and even your life. The point is that there wasn't a single time or place in history where absolutely free market existed other than isolated villages in ancient times. At most, there were some RELATIVELY FREE markets. Nowadays it is BEYOND an utopia. For a single reason: who do you think will protect you, regulate laws, build infrastructure, look out for development, etc. The guy that makes beer? Will he build roads? will he build a dam? will he look for the cheese guy not taking out the winery? Unrealistic, huh? And so... how do you think all this "superior entity" is maintained? With good wishes? The cheese, wine and beer guys will abandon their production to build a dam which they don't have a fucking idea how to build? Seriously, I know these ideas may sound like original or cool but they aren't new at all, if you know a little of Malatesta, Gramsci, Bakunin or even Saint Simon you would have seen them in one shape or another. Plus, I've noticed how you did concentrate on the New Deal I mentioned (twisting it) but you avoided everything else. And it's for a simple reason: what you're saying, as good, bad, wrong or right as it might be, is an absolute impossible in real world and in this times (or any time to come). In fact, more or less what you're proposing is called Anarcho-Primitivism: not by theory itself, but for the only possible results to this model: A "Waldenesque" lifestyle :2 cents: |
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But... they are not bigger, better, or more productive than those without regulations/control/intervention. The economy CAN be tinkered with, and HAS been tinkered with for hundreds of years, and it has worked and it has solved problems. Gov intervention isn't here to solve problems... it's here to help, and it has helped, many times over, many ways. Quote:
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Without all this intervention, funding, pushing... you wouldn't be doing what you are today. You hate, what they provided to you... and you think a free market would have built it, when it wasn't... funny. Quote:
We wouldn't need regs/intervention IF people did respect others, didn't commit fraud, didn't scam, didn't create new ways to screw people over for money, etc... If greed wasn't a factor, the world would be heaven, and most crashes wouldn't have happened. Could you list, 1 time in history, where the Gov regulated/intervened, on something, out of the blue-thin air, for no reason? IE: It's what they do, so they just do it..... Most if not all of what we have, is a result of corporate greed.... you're hating the wrong group of people. The Gov will ALWAYS regulate where it sees problems, that is it's actual job, to protect us, not only from others, but from ourselves as well - that IS the job of the Gov..... |
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I am however curious about how you are so certain that "it never will". If you look at things from a purely utilitarian point then a pure free market system is the most efficient way to run things. The work of for example David Friedman is very interesting to read in that regard. If you look at things from an ethical point of view than it is the only fair way to run things. For more info: Hans-Hermann Hoppe (argumentation ethics), Walter Block, Murray Rothbard (natural rights based theory), Frank Van Dun (argumentation ethics), Stephan Kinsella (estoppel),... Quote:
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Mises himself in 'Socialism' about central planned economies: The impracticability of Socialism is the result of intellectual, not moral, incapacity. . . . Even angels, if they were endowed only with human reason, could not form a socialistic community. Quote:
2 years ago, the people living in the EU were told they had to show some solidarity with Ireland. A couple of months ago they were told to show solidarity with Greece or Greece would default. The Greek state has been borrowing money for a very long time (just like all modern states do). Greece borrowed money to cover its expenses. Greece than borrowed more money to pay back its previous loans (including interest). As their accumulated debt is over 170% of their GDP, it's impossible for them to pay back that money with tax euros. Who gave out loans to the Greek state? Banks, all kinds of different funds etc. They even kept giving Greece loans when it was obvious to them that Greece would be unable to repay those loans. Eventually the situation became that bad that no one wanted to give Greece anymore loans. At that point politicians and bankers screamed: "The market failed! No one wants to buy Greek bonds! no one wants to give Greece any new loans!". Did the market fail? Of course not. The market reacted the way it should. If no one is willing to pay to buy Greek bonds, that is the market giving you information that those bonds are worthless. If no one is willing to give out new loans to Greece, that is the market giving you information that Greece is unlikely to pay back its loans. What happened? The EU decide to set up a special emergency fund. All other EU countries now borrow money (at an interest rate based on their own rating) from the same banks that gave out loans to Greece when it was already obvious that Greece would not be able to pay them back. Those countries then lend that money to Greece (at a different interest rate). Greece then uses that money to pay off the banks. All those EU countries now have to use taxpayer money to pay back its loans to those banks (+ interest). So in essence what happened is that a couple of banks acted irresponsibly and gave out loans that it would not have been able to give out in a free market (because that would have meant the end of those banks). When the borrower was unable to pay back its loans, the EU then essentially made every member country borrow money from those same banks so Greece could pay back tot he same banks. The EU emergency fund didn't put "new money into the markets". It took money out of the financial system and then put it back into the same financial system, but with the promise to pay back a little extra. Where will that little extra come from? Taxation. And now that it has become obvious that 2 other member states (Spain and Italy) will not be able to repay their debts, they are doing basically the same thing all over, but this time its the ECB that will be giving out the new loans. The ECB announced that it will start printing extra euros to buy Italian and Spanish bonds (effectively inflating the money supply). Quote:
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People have bread to eat because the baker is driven by 'greed'. The baker doesn't get up early in the morning to bake bread out of the goodness of his heart. No, he bakes bread, so he can sell it and use that money to buy goods and services he desires. And yes, crimes exist and will always exist. Where there a need for security services, the market will provide it. Quote:
But who does the gov call when they want to regulate the banking business? Bankers. Who does the gov call on when they want to regulate industry x? Experts from that industry. I urge you to take a look at the work of for example Butler Shaffer. In his "In Restraint of Trade: The Business Campaign Against Competition" (I'll see if I can dig up a pdf) he does a great job of exposing tons of government regulations that were lobbied for by existing member of certain industries with the aim of restricting access to the market and wiping out new competitors. |
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- If your per capita GDB is very low than any small increase will look like a huge increase in GDB percentage wise. - There have been modest reforms in China and those would account for the real growth. If the case of China tells us anything, then it's that its reforms did not go far enough. |
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2. Labor is a scarce resource just like any other and the Law of supply and demand therefor applies to it. Quote:
If a customer can chose between a normal toothbrush and a pink toothbrush that is more expensive and the customer picks the pink one than the customer obviously valued the pink toothbrush higher than the normal one even though they both can be used to perform the exact same function. Value is subjective not objective so there's no such thing a "Ghost value". Quote:
When people pay money to take part in a webinar, then they are paying for a real service. When people use the internet to communicate, they actually communicate with other people in the real world. When 2 people in "the real world (where cows live and grapes grow)" use the internet to do business, then they affect each other in the real world. If you'd "pull the plug" you wouldn't shut of some virtual world that isn't part of the real world. You'd be destroying a tool that people in "the real world" use... jsut like telephones, smoke signals, handwritten letters etc. Quote:
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If you want to find out where my personal preferences lie... start within the Rothbardian tradition :) |
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Sometimes when they yell the sky is falling, they act... other times they don't, in both cases sometimes it's good and other times is bad, ignoring things though - has never solved problems, it only grows them. Quote:
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Greed is when 1/3 of your Countries wealth is stolen, because of pure corp greed, backed by a lack of intervention. Quote:
I think we've drifted off here.... I don't disagree that intervention causes problems, however I equally don't ignore the fact that sometimes it does work, very well at that - and I also understand that ignoring problems, creates more of them, which has proof all over. It is not an absolute, thinking or even attempting to prove that it is, is why Austrian Economics is flawed. |
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nevertheless. :winkwink: your comment reinforces my curiousity, i wonder what most austrian economists have to say about china while there's no denying china is an economic powerhouse and it is verified they have 3 trillion cash reserves, i happen to think it is all teetering on the brink of either an uprising (which are currently sweeping the globe) and/or a huge economic dump due to all the manhandling of their economy in a communist society. china can't be the only economy on the planet that is not unhealthy. |
triple negative sentence at the end there, ftw
enjoy it! |
just snoopin abit, came across this-----------------
"I discovered Austrian economics and LvMI in 1989. Here my impressions of the forecasting record of the Austro-Misesian camp since: "Late 1980s ? Japan?s property and equity bubbles were classic ABCT, yet Austrians were notably silent. Some of this can be attributed to the small number of Austrians at the time. Joe Salerno gave a speech about the Japan bubble at a LvMI conference in Toronto in 1999 (see here). Unfortunately this was well after the fact. "Late 1990s, early 2000s ? Austrians were mostly quiet about the tech/dot-com bubble. There were exceptions among academics (Christopher Mayer, George Reisman, Guido Hulsmann, Sean Corrigan) as well as practitioners (Jim Grant, Tony Deden). I remember discussions with David Tice during the early 2000s about how Austrians were missing a golden opportunity to stick their necks out on the forecasting block regarding the tech bubble. "2002?2007 ? Austrians hit a monster home run with regard to the Greenspan response to the tech bust, the GSEs, housing bubble, credit bubble, and gold. This is when LRC took off, amplifying any credibility by getting it right. Btw, the Fed-lite GMU/Koch/Cato camp largely missed these bubbles, a major forecasting black eye. "Today ? We have more "Austrian" forecasters than ever. Is China a bubble? The supposedly Austrian-leaning Jim Rogers, Peter Schiff, Jim Puplava, and Adrian Day say "no." Left-leaning Jim Chanos says "yes." I tend to agree with Chanos. So what happens to the credibility of Austrian economics if the China bubble bursts? Will the fault lie in the theory or those applying it? http://www.campaignforliberty.com/article.php?view=1257 |
50 Austrian Wizards! :thumbsup
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This is interesting.
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And as I've tried to point out several times: Gov is made up out of humans, not all knowing angels. Governments are made up out of humans who make mistakes just alike any other human. Governments are made up out of humans who are greedy just like any other human. The difference between gov intervention and the free market is that, in the case of gov intervention, the mistakes made by the people who make up the gov affect the whole population. Quote:
According to an empiricist it is impossible to know something. (Even though they pretend they do). An empiricist formulates hypotheses and then goes on to test and retest those hypotheses. At the end of his research the empiricist concludes that his hypothesis was confirmed in for example 9 out of 10 tests or 10 out of 10 tests etc. So in essence what an empirical economist does is to formulate hypotheses and then try and measure as much about the economy as possible to test if this data confirms or denies his hypotheses. He then goes on to construct nice models he can use to predict how his 'tinkering' with the economy would turn out. The Austrian school totally rejects this method. Why? - It is possible to know something. If I state that all objects that are completely blue can't at the same time be completely yellow then you know this to be true. It's simple logic. - When dealing with the economy, you are dealing with human individuals who are all different. The empirical scientific method is useful when applied to the natural sciences like physics or chemistry. It is perfectly possible to isolate a chemical element and then for example heat up a certain amount of that element and measure at what temperature it burns or melts or vaporizes... You can conduct controlled experiments because you can conduct your test on a certain amount of that element and then compare your results to another amount of that same element. You can't do this with the economy. You can't just put a 1000 people in a box and tell them "go play free market" and then put the same 1000 people in another box and say "go play central planned economy" and then compare the results. You are dealing here with individuals who are all different, who all respond to their environment differently. The mere act of observing them will already alter their behavior. (btw: Funny thing is that events in history that could be considered as coming even close to a controlled experiment (for example: North vs South Korea. Similar genetic background, similar geography, different amounts of gov intervention.) never favor central planning) According to the Austrian School you can't use historical events to prove your theories or hypotheses are correct. You can merely analyze events and use them to illustrate certain principles. Then how does the Austrian School approach economics? The Austrian school uses an axiomatic-deductive method. This means that you start with an axiom, something that you know to be true and you use a known method (logic) to deduct things from that axiom. If your starting point is true and you didn't make any logical errors deducting then what you deducted from that axiom is also true. Mises used the axiom of human action as his starting point. All humans act. (To act as defined as "to act with a purpose". Getting up in the morning would be acting. Opening a bottle of beer would be acting. etc). It is impossible to disprove that people act because by trying to do so you would be acting therefor disproving what you set out to do. Let's take an example with 2 individuals: A and B. A and B both have all kinds of goals. A wants to own a ball. B wants to own a ball. A wants to own a yellow ball. B wants to own a red ball. A owns a red ball. B owns a yellow ball. They both have 2 goals. 1 of their goals (owning a ball) has already been accomplished. Logic dictates that they both can achieve a more satisfying state by trading their balls. If A gives his red ball to B in exchange for B's yellow ball then both of them will have accomplished 2 of their goals instead of 1 of their goals. If you prevent a and B from trading than you prevent them from achieving a more satisfying state of affairs. etc etc Using pure logic the Austrian economists are able to deduct and prove pricing theories, the law of supply and demand, the law of comparative advantage etc. and the fact that a pure free market is the most optimal system. Quote:
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[QUOTE]Or you could say, we wouldn't have the technology today if we didn't have the gov.[QUOTE] see empirical vs axiomatic-deductive. Quote:
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The myth about China is that it's "recent" (1978 and on) growth is somehow thanks to central planning. The reason for this myth is a simple mixup between correlation and causation. Yes, China has a lot of gov intervention and yes china's economy is growing, but one does not cause the other. If it rains in LA, than that does not mean the mayor of LA made it rain :) If you look at it from an empirical point of view than the link between the deregulations and the growth are much more likely. If I'm not mistaken the Chinese gov had Milton Friedman (not Austrian, but pseudo-free-market Chicago School) over for tea back in the 70s and 80s and they implemented some of his advice. If you look at it from an Austrian/praxeological point of view than yes of course: less restriction will lead to higher growth. Personally I have not closely studied the situation in China (and all of its specifics) and I'm not ware of any Austrian publication about the current situation in China so I can't give you a more in depth analysis of their situation. All I can say is that (like Robert Murphy recently wrote) understanding Austrian economics does not give you the ability to predict the future. It does not give you the ability to predict how much the price of x will fall and how many people in sector Y will be fired and on what date market Z will collapse. It does however tell you what the effects of certain measures will be. If the ECB announces that it will start printing new euros to buy Spanish and Italian bonds then we know that increasing or inflating the money supply will diminish the value of the euros that are already in circulation. It's the Law of supply and demand. Logic and maths then tells us that the people who will be hurt most by that measure are the poor. The Cantillon-effect (Cantillon, proto-Austrian) tells us there will be a shift in wealth towards the point were the money was injected (gov, banks and the major corporations). |
Hey there u-bob.... will you hit me up via email or skype please? I have some things to talk with you about.
.:-) |
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I didn't say use history to prove a theory. But ignoring history is a bad when it can be looked at and seen that when no regulation/intervention happened, the problems did not go away, they grew. Quote:
The entire system itself, the system that manages it all... is also responsible for intervention, from functions conflicting to human error, another factor they ignore. And this is why they aren't accepted.... a free market is NOT POSSIBLE without STRONG regulations, fraud protection, and intervention to keep it clean of greed & fraud. It is impossible to have a free market, unless all greed is gone, and as you said, that wont happen, so it is impossible to have a true free market, thus the Austrian theory is flawed. Quote:
What they did was stop from having to cover every deposit the major banks had.... which would have cost us all a shit ton more than the bailout did. While I still don't agree with the bailouts... BoA failing alone would have cost us more in tax dollars than the bailout for them did, they had like 10x the amount to cover, let alone the other big boys. Logic is not always the correct path... Quote:
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Just like your body, if you totally ignore it, it will fail - but before then the ride will be hell - it will be crazy for decades without any regulation. But if you maintain it, you intervene, you may make some mistakes along the way, but overall you'll improve yourself by maintaining yourself, thus you may still screw up and even fail, but the ride along the way wont be as bad , as it could have been. If the economy is organic then it falls under the same rules as every organic thing on this planet... which means, no single path is the correct answer and it must be maintained or it will fail. Fail here doesn't mean go out of business... it means the entire system fails, everything. |
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(I'm traveling so I don't have icq etc on this laptop) |
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To preempt a reply: A company that has a legit 100% market share does not have a monopoly. Why not? Because other companies are still free to enter the market and compete. When does a company have a monopoly? When it violates other people's property rights to exclude them from the market. That the original meaning of the word monopoly. Kings and governments used to sell monopoly rights to raise money. They sold special licenses (letters patent) that protected the holder from prosecution by the courts in their territory for certain crimes. (letters of marque sold or given to pirates are another example) [QUOTE]They reject proven theories because they aren't able to prove their own theories, and when you ignore greed, you ignore logic, [QUOTE] No, they show that the methods used by those interventionists are flawed. The Austrian method is based on logic and the funny thing here is that most interventionists refuse to deal with Austrians based on that fact: the Austrians use of logic. A couple of months ago when an Austrian, Thomas Dilorenzo, testified before some congressional committee, they even compared "using logic to derive economic laws" to religion. like, wtf? Quote:
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What interventionists claim to be able to do is predict the future using their models. Quote:
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What do you do when a new sponsor comes along? Immediately send them all of your traffic or do some research, evaluate their sites,...? What do you do when your servers at hosting company Y are down all the time? Stick with them ore move to another host? Which designer do you hire? The one you've heard only good things about or the one that has 25 drama threads on gfy? If your friends got sick from eating at a new Chinese restaurant, do you go and try the food there yourself or do you pick another restaurant to have lunch? If a girl cheats on you and you give her a second chance and she cheats on you again, do you blame the lack of gov regulation or kick her out? The market is selfregulating. Quote:
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Some of us learned that hard way when epass went under. Quote:
Like I said, the economy consists out of individuals who constantly all make different decisions. There is no "conscious entity" directing everything. Why does the baker bake bread? Because the gov told him to? Or because he wants to make money? How does the baker know how many breads to bake? Because the gov told him to or because he bases his decision on experience (the amount of breads he sold the previous days or weeks), his understanding of his customers preferences, the fact that one of his competitors is one vacation etc? Quote:
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If you want to end the corruption, you need to end what makes the corruption possible. Quote:
Gov intervention: plans by the few. Free Market: plans by the many. I'll throw in the Keynes/Hayek video again :): |
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I can see it between S. Korea and the rest of the world, were they have a stable, growing and overall doing well economy, filled with regulations and intervention. Quote:
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So it's logical they should have lost everything, the market would have fixed it eh? Again, you expose a massive flaw in this way of thinking.... Quote:
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Where is the act, law, rule, etc that regulated something before a corporation did something? |
The second dip was assured a year ago -- were you ready? |
Wow, a million people made predictions and one of them was right???
Amazing. Image if there had been a "million + one" possible out comes, then everyone would have been wrong. |
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In a free market a company can get a 100% market share if it provides the best product at the best price. Nothing wrong with that. In a free market however, other companies are still free to try and compete if they want. So if another company comes up with a better product or a cheaper way to produce that product then it is free to do so. Pure monopolies (that exclude others by force) are a problem because if there's no competition, there's no incentive to produce better products at a lower cost. Competition is an essential aspect of the free market. Therefor the problems associated with monopolies can't occur under free market conditions. Quote:
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Hans Hoppe has a couple of good introductions to praxeology. It's good reading on a hot summer evening :) Quote:
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[QUOTE] Those questions aren't relevant to what I said.[QUOTE] It's an example of how the market selfregulates. [QUOTE]It's only one example of how a corporation can manipulate various markets for greed... they can do it without the Gov as well.[QUOTE] So in your opinion the corps can manipulate both the market and the gov and your solution is more gov for them to manipulate? Quote:
If you want to end the corruptions, you need to get rid of gov intervention. Quote:
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It already happens within pockets of free markets... Quote:
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You even comparing the two is pure laughable... trying to make it sound like N.K. is an example of market intervention is pure silly and does not help your argument, if anything it's hurting it. Quote:
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This would be another factor Austrians ignore in their quest for a fake free market. Quote:
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No matter what, I will always think the Austrian economic theory is filled with flaws, like many other people. All you've done is prove to me is how much more flawed it is than I actually thought. Not that other economic theories are perfect either, but that's the point... they think they've got it all figured out, when in reality, we can find contradictions and flaws to their theories all day long. You just choose to ignore them, much like other economists ignore the flaws in the systems they use. |
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So, yeah.... seriously, not related. |
The state maintains the conditions for capitalism.
Keeps wages low, fights Trade Unions, imports labor, promotes racism etc... The State also does the things the market allows fails to do House, feed and health service, plus infrastructure roads etc... Also state supplies massive welfare to big business in the form of military spending. If any government was foolish enough to have a "free market" there would be a revolution at the first economic crisis.... It Keynes economics is a political act not an economic one.... The State protects Capitalism from the Capitalists - Those greedy motherfuckers would destroy everything for an extra busk Economists are more corrupt than the mafia taking massive payoff from the financial sector and making government policy. |
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A free market economy, we do not have... like where nothing is regulated, touched, no rules, no greed that would mean we need those rules, etc.. where no regs ever happen, it's a pipe dream... an impossible dream. Which is probably the #1 reason why Austrian economics fails. They fail to accept the truth, what they want we do not have, and never will, thus it's a failed theory from the start. Quote:
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This is from "The Myth of Natural Monopoly" by Thomas J. DiLorenzo Quote:
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And here is a bit more about monopolies from the Austrian School...
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I don't see how this proves a myth of AT&T not being a monopoly... the fact that AT&T even happened is proof of a monopoly forming. It was the result of multiple corps evolving and combining and buying up others. Even before the patent expired, it had influence over the market, it had already restricted the market in many areas, it was the single provider for long distance, it was a monopoly simply by it's formation it grained the power to have this influence. That was a great pdf, I really did enjoy it. Now, I do like how it jumps around, takes out little cuts for bits of history, to make it's points true. I also enjoyed the theories in it as well, like how they define market dominance as temporary assuming a gov doesn't grant a monopoly, however it fails to factor in a corporation already had enough power to lobby the state and local gov's so it could restrict the market, more. It wasn't like it wasn't trying in areas succeeding before hand in other ways, it just went up the scale as it grew, it didn't like competition, it had the power to stop it, so they did. It started with greed first, and went up the chain to make it worse. All the gov did was make it worse in this case, which I never argued... I've said it works both ways, sometimes it's good and others it's bad. It's not a one way door, it's not "always bad" - market regs/restrictions, etc are sometimes needed. That's why I say the Austrian mind set is flawed... they wont accept anything outside of what they define as to be true, which is exactly what they bitch about in other economic theories, yet do themselves, just in different ways. |
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Of course they had the market cornered. Because IT DID NOT EXIST before they created it. Once their patent expired hundreds of companies started competing with them. Our government put the competitors out of business and basically made AT&T the monopoly everyone talks about... |
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Those statements right there, show that absolutely opposing world views that we have. You think that Governments are good things, meant to help. I believe that governments grow first out of the powerful dominating the weak through use of force, (Kings), and then morph in various ways, but always are being run by people that seek power, and have the now legal means to use force in order to make people comply. If their power is not limited initially, and then kept in check constantly, they will grow forever into you are back in King/Dictator mode again. ANY system that seeks to grow government power is, in my view, anti freedom. .:2 cents: |
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Thinking the eco, business, corps, or a market, will simply work its issues out if everyone just let's it naturally happen is absurd for many reasons, before greed being the killing factor. I don't think any system is perfect, a balance between them all is needed. And as you said... people need to keep the gov in check better as well, so that balance is kept. Hell, that's a great example of what happens when you ignore things and think they'll naturally fix themselves. |
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